Stock Market April 2011

[sunseeker]

Sell in May?

http://www.icontact-archive.com/Kk1L3lOFwSLyBo4FkoDh9hUexzKtT8yQ?w=1

Shares rose in 23 of the last 40 years in May to September, a 58 per cent success rate. If a bear market is running in May, the odds of a price decline by the end of September are an incredible 92%. On the other hand, prices rise three quarters of the time if a bull market is running in May.

Therefore, my thesis is that bulls have the advantage going into trading on Monday.

Personally I always feel better with a decent cash balance behind me at this time of the year.

You pays yer money.............

ATB 

[MetalMeister]

Ahhh, so everything is still on the table...

 

You should be a newsletter writer!!!!!

 

In a nutshell my opinion is that while the market may well correct we are headed much higher in these markets and have maybe another 3-5 years of this nuthouse environment before the lid may just blow off.  With global tension as it is, that opinion can change in a matter of hours however. 

[sidewinder]

Yea, but that would be too easy.

Set it all up by explaining why a particular sector is ready to explode.

Cite numerous examples of 1-2 even 3X moves.  (that you called well in advance of course)

Mention that subscribers will soon get 2-3 "unknown" stocks set to explode as the others have and only you know who they are.

Sweeten the deal with some "special" report or even 3,4,5, special reports.  All included for free but a value worth $1,000's.

Create sense of urgency to purchase NOW as the price is going up and you will miss the BIG move. 


Throw in some color and cool charts ................... go fishing.    watch pay pal account grow. 

 

[sunseeker]

A very good/must read  commodities article.

http://www.gmo.com/websitecontent/JGLetterALL_1Q11.pdf

The rise in population, the ten-fold increase in wealth in developed countries, and the current explosive growth in developing countries have eaten rapidly into our finite resources of hydrocarbons and metals, fertilizer, available land, and water.
Now, despite a massive increase in fertilizer use, the growth in crop yields per acre has declined from 3.5% in the 1960s to 1.2% today. There is little productive new land to bring on and, as people get richer, they eat more grain-intensive meat. Because the population continues to grow at over 1%, there is little safety margin. The problems of compounding growth in the face of finite resources are not easily understood by optimistic, short-term-oriented, and relatively innumerate humans (especially the political variety).

Plus so much more...

A bit busy at the mo...
Hopefully I'll catch up with all your (numerous) posts later.

ATB 

[sidewinder]

By the way ... good morning to be short the market .....

The dollar is in the pits making new lows .... They will have to prop it up a bit and that usually puts a hit on the futures markets.  Anyway that's the game I'm playing this morning.  I mean it could turn around any second but that' why I'm baby sitting it. 

[pinetree]

Not too worried about the market for now.  My best guess is that the time to stop buying the dips is when the dreaded "black swan" chart pattern appears again...



By the way, what's with Goldman traders never losing???

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-05-10/goldman-sachs-traders-lost-money-one-day-last-quarter-best-record-in-year.html

I thought you had to have risk mgmt to control the inevitable losing trades?  I guess GS, JPM, etc don't need to worry about stuff like that.

[sidewinder]

Dude ....... Where have you Been?

[pinetree]

Guess I forgot about this site for a while...

Still keeping up with the mkts every day and trying to master this day trading thing.  Was just looking at the TA thread, can't believe it was 2 years ago that I first started learning about futures.  I still exchange email with jjj from time to time, but anyone ever see any sign of Bottomfeeder?  Anyway from what I've read it takes 2-5 years to get good at this so I must be nearing a breakthrough by now...

Hope you're still kicking ES ass!

[sunseeker]

Hi Pinetree
Good to see you around here again. I hope that it's more than a guest appearance?
Perhaps you could persuade jjj to start posting here again.
It would be great to hear again from Bottomfeeder and Punter too.
DavidSlane. Richmanch.........
Maxine (the only lady I can remember)...
We can all gain from the broad spectrum of views.

There are 1035 members, and 1035 points of view out there.
Come on in, but not all at once  

Hahaaa

ATB  

PT...
I almost forgot. The Black Swan Chart. I liked that. Very very funny.