This prediction is 180 degrees flat out dead wrong.
I will explain more a little later on...

Great comprehensive commentary on why gold stocks remains flat while gold bullion prices are rising.
I particularly like your no. 3 explanation about your observation (have to squint to see) on the relationship between gold and oil in 2008.
"The collapse in oil prices in late 2008 led to a spike in the price of gold, measured in units of oil. The inverse is also true, as over the last month or two the increase in the price of oil has weakened the price of gold, measured in units of oil".
I predict that this summer, there is going to be a repeat of the 2008 scenario when oil prices spike, and then collapse.
And I suspect that after the oil price spikes, it will be the best time to bottomfeed for gold stocks.